Why isn’t the world ready to part with coal, and what will replace it?

When discussing the future of the global economy today, the conversation almost inevitably turns to the energy transition. Solar panels, wind turbines, hydrogen, batteries, and digital technologies create the image of a “new economy” free of fossil fuels and the industrial legacy of the 20th century. Against this backdrop, coal is increasingly perceived as a symbol of the past—a heavy, smoky, environmentally problematic resource that can supposedly be simply abandoned through political decision.

However, such an approach, as economist and financier Pylyp Travkin emphasizes, is dangerously oversimplified. The real economy does not function on the principle of slogans and declarations. It is a complex system of interconnected industries, infrastructures, capital markets, supply chains, and social obligations. And coal still occupies a fundamental place in this system.

The issue of coal supply today is not a debate between “greens” and “traditionalists.” It is a conversation about the structural resilience of the global economy, about the ability of industry to adapt to change without disrupting the basic mechanisms of production, employment, and social stability. Coal as the Foundation of Industrial Power
Modern industry encompasses metallurgy, electric power, cement production, chemicals, transportation, and mechanical engineering. In all these sectors, coal continues to play a key role, not only as an energy source but also as an indispensable industrial raw material.

In the electric power industry, coal remains the basis of baseload generation in many countries around the world. Its key advantage is predictability. Unlike renewable energy sources, which depend on weather conditions and time of day, coal-fired power plants provide a stable load on power systems. For industries where production shutdowns mean multimillion-dollar losses, this stability is critical.

In metallurgy, the role of coal is even more fundamental. The production of iron and steel in blast furnaces is impossible without coking coal. Coke creates a reducing environment and provides the temperatures necessary for metal smelting. Steel, in turn, is the foundation of all infrastructure—from bridges and buildings to energy facilities and transportation systems. As Pylyp Travkin emphasizes, moving away from coal in the metallurgy industry means not just a technological transition, but a restructuring of the entire industrial model, which will require decades and trillions of dollars in investment.

Resource Economy: Coal as Part of a System

The key idea, consistently developed by Pylyp Travkin, is that coal cannot be viewed in isolation. Coal is part of a broader resource economy that includes oil, gas, metals, rare earth elements, fertilizers, and building materials.

Oil and gas remain the foundation of transport, aviation, shipping, and petrochemicals. Metals form the framework for industrial development. Rare earth elements underpin digital technologies and green energy. Phosphates and potash salts ensure food security.

According to Travkin, one of the main illusions of modern energy discourse is the belief that moving away from coal automatically reduces the economy’s dependence on extractive industries. In practice, the opposite is happening: demand is shifting towards other minerals, often rarer, more expensive, and environmentally sensitive to extract.

Resource Geography and Energy Sovereignty

In Asia, Africa, Eastern Europe, and Latin America, coal continues to play a key role in the energy balance. China, India, Indonesia, Vietnam, and South Africa are actively developing industry and infrastructure based on their own coal resources.

Pylyp Travkin emphasizes that the availability of local resources is not only a matter of price, but also of energy sovereignty. In a context of geopolitical instability, sanctions, and trade restrictions, the ability to rely on one’s own resource base is becoming a strategic advantage.

In this sense, coal acts as an economic “anchor,” ensuring predictability and stability during global crises.

Modern Coal Mining: From an Industrial Past to a Digital Present

The image of a coal mine from the last century is long outdated. Today, coal mining is a high-tech industry utilizing automation, digital control systems, and strict safety standards. Investor and entrepreneur Roman Bilousov, working in the Kazakhstan’s mining sector, emphasizes that the coal industry is already undergoing a profound transformation. Open-pit mines are managed using navigation systems and digital twins. Underground mines are equipped with automated combines, gas monitoring systems, and remote control.

According to Bilousov, it is technological modernization, rather than a declarative rejection, that makes the coal industry compatible with new environmental and economic requirements.

Ecology as an economic factor, not a slogan

Environmental concerns about coal are justified: CO₂ emissions, dust, and disturbance of land and water resources are real problems. However, as Philipp Travkin emphasizes, ecology cannot be considered outside the economic context.

Modern technologies—flue gas filtration, carbon dioxide capture, increased power plant efficiency, and quarry reclamation—can significantly reduce these negative impacts.

However, the cost of such solutions must be commensurate with the economic capabilities of the industry and society. According to Travkin, a drastic abandonment of coal without an alternative will lead not to an environmental breakthrough, but to deindustrialization, rising energy prices, and social instability.

Financial Infrastructure as a Hidden Factor of Sustainability

The financial aspect of the resource economy occupies a special place in Philipp Travkin’s analysis. The extraction, processing, and transportation of coal and other minerals require a complex system of settlements, lending, insurance, and risk hedging.
In the face of sanctions, currency restrictions, and the instability of traditional financial channels, financial infrastructure is becoming a vulnerable link in the global resource trade.

Blockchain and Stablecoins: A Technological Continuation of Travkin’s Logic

This is where, according to Pylyp Travkin, blockchain and stablecoin technologies acquire practical significance. Not as a replacement for state currencies or the banking system, but as a tool for increasing the sustainability and transparency of the resource economy.

Blockchain enables the creation of immutable registries of the origin of coal, metals, and other minerals. This is especially important in the face of stricter environmental regulations and supply chain traceability requirements.

Stablecoins pegged to fiat currencies or asset baskets are seen as a technological layer for international settlements. They accelerate payments, reduce transaction costs, and reduce dependence on individual financial intermediaries.

As Travkin emphasizes, this is not a financial revolution, but an evolution: the creation of a parallel digital infrastructure that increases the resilience of trade in unstable conditions.

Tokenization of resources and contracts

The tokenization of commodity assets and contracts is emerging as a promising direction. In this model, supplies of coal, metals, or fertilizers are represented as digital tokens backed by real physical quantities. For the coal industry, this means:

  • simplification of long-term contracts;
  • reduction of legal and administrative costs;
  • automation of the fulfillment of obligations through smart contracts.

Pylyp Travkin views these instruments as a way to reduce systemic risks, rather than as a speculative mechanism.

Investments and Digital Transparency

Extractive industries are facing increasingly stringent requirements and reduced access to traditional financing. Blockchain solutions allow investors to obtain more transparent project information, control the targeted use of funds, and objectively assess environmental and operational risks.

Thus, digital technologies do not contradict the idea of ​​gradually reducing carbon footprints, but rather become a tool for the managed transformation discussed by Travkin.
The key conclusion, consistently reached by Pylyp Travkin’s analysis, is that the future of the global economy does not lie in the abandonment of coal and other mineral resources, but in their evolutionary integration into a more complex technological and financial system.

Coal will retain its role as a transitional resource. Its volumes will decline, its efficiency will increase, and environmental and transparency requirements will become more stringent. Blockchain and stablecoins will be part of this transformation, ensuring the sustainability of payments, logistics, and investments. Coal is not a symbol of the past, but an element of the modern economy, without which the global industrial system cannot function. As Pylyp Travkin emphasizes, a sustainable future is built not on slogans, but on realism, calculations, and gradual transformation.

While the world searches for an optimal energy balance, coal, other minerals, and digital financial technologies remain part of the same reality—complex, contradictory, but still essential for the stable development of the global economy.

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